Yoni's shared items
Friday, March 6, 2009
Why is there prayer in the house of representatives
Sunday, February 8, 2009
Keep Up to Date Health Care Stuff I'm Reading
http://evernote.com/pub/yf35/clinical
Friday, January 16, 2009
UPDATE: No More For Profit Insurers
T Desmond posted the exact same concept on Change.gov and it is receiving enormous support!
Currently it has 46720 points and ranks #8 on the top issues for the Citizen's Briefing Book to be submitted to Obama upon his inauguration.
"Get The Insurance Companies Out of Health Care
The reason that our country pays more for health care than anywhere else in the world and still has poor health outcomes is that the system is run by profit-seeking insurance companies. Health insurance should not be a for-profit field."
Please go to http://citizensbriefingbook.change.gov and get to voting.
Monday, January 12, 2009
When "Homeowners" are Really Just Renters
If you put $0 down and only pay off interest on a mortgage, you are NOT a home owner. You are simply renting. The fact that you signed a 20-30 year lease with no control over what your rent is was a dumb idea.
You are not being foreclosed upon and losing your home, you simply cannot pay your increased rent and need to move somewhere that is affordable for you. You never owned a piece of that house.
That said, the bailout is an absurd concept for either its intended or actual use.
It was intended to help give free money to people that cannot afford the mortgage/rent on their "homes". Why do renters get no support for being responsible and not entering a 30 year lease they cannot afford?
The actual use of the bailout thus far is to give free money to banks who helped create this financial nightmare in the first place via predatory lending and absurd leverage rations of 30:1.
Banks of course do not deserve this money and by giving it to them, we have only set the precedent that they should be irresponsible in the future. It's a great deal, bankers profit on the way up (capitalism), and we pay on the way down (socialism).
The best part is that instead of helping the economy have enough money to qualify for legitimate loans, we gave the money to banks at a very low interest rate or for free, so they could then loan us our own tax dollars at 14% interest. So at best, we are being scammed by the government and banks for our own tax dollars, and at worse they are just keeping the money and refusing to give out loans altogether.
To review: You pay taxes --> Government gives your taxes to banks --> Banks give you back some of your own money at a high interest
Wait to go Mr. Paulson, just because you live in an outdated and failed model for the finance world, it doesn't mean that a financial TARP solution is the best way out of the current mess (it's just the only idea you could come up with).
In the future, if we really consider banks (and car companies) too big to fail, then they need to be broken up into smaller pieces before they are able to be some important. Just as we deny mergers to prevent monopolies, we must not allow banks or any other company to be so big that they cannot "fail". If the short term growth of the company and the stock markets is limited, that is a small price to pay for responsible long term management of the country and our finances.
Sunday, January 11, 2009
Congress might finally pass bankruptcy court bill: Way Too Late, but Hopefully not too Little
There are a number of things wrong with this whole situation, but I'll just point to a couple:
1. This could (and should) have happened a long time ago and done a lot of good
2. Why the F&$k does CitiGroup have any impact on whether or not a bill passes?
The first is a big deal, but the 2nd is just so absurd, so I'll begin there.
I'm not naive, we all understand that corporate America has too much influence on Congress, but it's like everyone stopped even pretending to hide that fact. Basically, everyone in Congress knew it was a good idea, but wouldn't push the bill forward for fear of upsetting one of the banks that caused this housing nightmare in the first place? That is of course after they gave them billions of our tax dollars.
So basically, Congress gave them a ton of money and was still too afraid to just ONCE make a decision to help the actual people that voted for them? I know it takes money to get elected and that is what sucking up to banks is for, but really, don't these guys even pretend to care about Americans?
1. To summarize what this is about, basically the only thing that is not legally negotiable in bankruptcy is your primary house's mortgage. This was a not huge problem when this began because you could just go to the local bank and try renegotiate. However, with the securitized nightmare of mortgages we now have, that is impossible, even when it is better for "homeowners" and banks. (fyi, this means that rich people with multiple houses have always been free to do this, just not the people that own just the one measly house).
This could have happened months ago, even before the sub-prime crisis hit, but it was forever being blocked by republicans. Now that there is a new Senate, it has life again. I watch a lot of CSPAN and this was discussed in the House/Senate months ago with the general acceptance that it won't go anywhere because there were not enough votes (apparently, that meant that Citigroup didn't like the idea...).
Democrats have plenty of faults, but this was a good idea a long time ago and it seems everyone knew it, but as long as the guys in charge (e.g. bankers that have screwed the country over 6 ways from Sunday) disagreed, it couldn't go anywhere. Having a huge majority and a new president that isn't (I hope) owned by lobbyists and big business might allow our government to start to finally make some intelligent decisions.
Change is: Making logical decisions that ironically enough put "Country First"
That said, everyone should join and actively support Change Congress: http://change-congress.org/
because the President is a good start, but a corrupt congressional process needs to be fixed and you can help.
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
Should Health Insurers Be Publically Traded? How About For Profit Altogether?
The free market is a wonderful idea, but one that rarely exists in the real world. There are plenty of places where free market incentives are in conflict and lead to negative (though “Pareto optimal”) results for pretty much everyone involved. One such instance is with health insurance in the
A. Publicly traded companies
B. For profit
Problem A: Playing The Market
It is perfectly logical that health insurers (and many other businesses) would want to go public in order to raise funds and expand their business.
In theory this would make sense in the long run, investors would buy stock that represents a partial ownership of the company and voila you have a insurer flush with cash and ready to expand, capitalism at its finest.
However, health insurers really have two types of investors: those that buy stock, and those that pay premiums (ie their customers). Few, if any, companies provide a serious dividend anymore, and most people that buy a stock are hoping to "buy low and sell high". This is extremely different from all those customers who reliably pay their premiums, copays, etc. each month as an investment in their own future, health and well being) every
Here in lies the disconnect. We have people going into stock for what is essentially the short term. When we're talking about health, 10 years is still short term compared to my the average lifetime expectancy of ~74 years (or 54 years of adulthood).
This begs the question, whose goals are driving corporate and CEO decisions over at your insurance company? The people paying premiums for the long haul, or investors looking for a quick profit?
The recent financial cluster f&$k should be reasonable proof that decisions are all too often made to please the stock prices and the board of directors. And hey, why not? CEOs are in it for the short term too, they want the stock to go up, get a big salary and a bigger bonus and get out a few years later. CEOs are not judged in the long term success of a company or the effects on their actual customers, they are judged on stock price.
This was not originally the case, way back when, a long long time ago, buying stock in a company really was about buying a piece of it. A buyer not only got stock, but also a solid dividend that came from company profits. There has never been something wrong with a company that makes 10 billion every year even though it didn’t grow in a year. A solid dividend rewarded long term goals and not only the quick buck that could be had from "buying low and selling high".
I suppose what I'm getting at, is that buying a stock without a legitimate dividend seems much more like a gamble on the emotional sentiment of the market (at worst) and the short term growth of the firm (at best). However, none of this is supporting long term success and actual legitimate business decisions for all of us paying our premiums and hoping for affordable care.
Problem B: Saving Lives In the Pursuit of Profit (we’ll discuss big pharma another day)
What do private companies do? They try to minimize costs and maximize revenue, profit and growth.
How might that translate into health insurance company decisions? Minimize how much health care you provide (costs) and maximize how much you get from customers (revenue). This is not exactly a great goal from the perspective of the average American.
What would they do with the profit? Pay a huge bonus to senior management, save some money for a rainy day, maybe buy another smaller insurer to boost that good old stock price?
Could a private health insurance company aiming for profit ever be a good vehicle for quality and affordable health care? I would venture to say no, and the reality today shows that it clearly has not in the past. How else could we spend more than 2x the money per person and be in worse health than other modern countries that spend half as much?
But wait, you say, what about the magical powers of the good old Invisible Hand? Good point (if this were a textbook). In reality, many of the requirements needed for the market to do its thing, bring down costs and improve efficiency are seriously lacking and unlikely to change in the near future:
- Competition: There are few insurance companies that control the large large majority of the market (more like an oligarchy than a free market)
- Low Barriers to Entry: Serious costs and governmental red tape required
- Transparency: I work in the industry and I am very often confused as to what health care benefits I have, so what chance does the average American have?
- Free choice: We usually go with what our company provides if we’re lucky enough to get it.
This is not to say that we don't switch insurers throughout our lives, we do and usually not by our choice (usually via our company, new job, job loss, etc.). That is unfortunately one of an insurer's excuses, because why should they think in the long term and focus preventative care if you're going to leave and they'll never get the "benefit" of supporting healthy customers. Sure, they’ll pretend for appearances sake, but in capitalism choices are made to make money not because it’s the right thing to do. Even if a CEO tried to go against his/her better money making instincts, he/she would likely be fired and replaced by someone more ethically flexible and profit focused to keep that stock price up.
In summary, the fact that the insurers in charge of our health are all driven by absurd incentives from investors rather than their customers is a serious problem. Could the requirement of dividend payments help, yes?
How about a private non-for profit insurance company? –This is not without precedent, German Health Care is provided via regional, private and non-for-profit insurers could be a very interesting option to look into. I would also argue that no industry or company is less efficient and wastes more of the country’s money on pushing paper than insurers (the US spends many times more on paperwork for health care than all other western nations), so I would not really worry about a non-profit’s ability to keep efficient.
As we look to the new administration, I am very curious and skeptical about the increasingly likely potential of a government run, common health care fund. Will this new competition provide some movement in the direction of true competition to keep payments low and benefits high? I’m not so sure, especially if it is run through existing publically traded and for profit commercial health insurers (like Medicare already is).
Note: There are many major problems and issues to be dealt with across every aspect of health care in the
Please comment and let me know what you think. I’m sure there are other counterarguments and ideas that I have missed.
Sunday, January 4, 2009
Do Unto Iran, As We Do Unto Ourselves
Are they willing to report first and ask questions later, yes?
If people hear a lie often enough, can they really stop themselves from believing it a little, no?
We are really good at making half-truths (or 1/16th truths) and pushing the issue via repetition online and in the media until what was absurd and stupid is transformed into a serious problem for a political candidate or organization (e.g. Obama is a secret Muslim, ACORN's primary goal is to steal the election)
This we all know, but the question we haven't really asked is: How we can use this to bring down our enemies?
I am having trouble finding it, but I recently read an article that attributed Iran's influence in the Middle East to its Shiite connections and importance, given it's comparably weak military power. Iran is a center of religious study for all sorts of religious radicals and big shots in the fundamentalist world. It's like they all "went to college" together.
After reading this article, it occurred to me that if their strength is in their religious credentials, then we should attack them. Which brings me back to my previous point, we have been practicing these attacks for decades in the US and we're really good at it (see Swift Boating of John Kerry and examples from above).
Given that, I suggest we pursue an aggressive counterintelligence campaign to cheapen and ruin the squeaky clean radical credentials of the awful folks ruining lives and funding bombs in the middle east and beyond.
How do we do this? I see two primary methods:
- Rumor mongering via blogs, "leaks" to news outlets and word of mouth campaigns (e.g. Achmedinejad is a secret Christian, the leader of Hamas is a fan of American Idol and secretely doesn't believe in Allah, etc.)
- Photoshopping of key leaders doing/saying less than flattering things (e.g. kissing a man, respecting women and Israel, mocking religious icons, etc.). The Photoshopping should work great in communities that don't even have computers or have even heard of Photoshop.
Update: This is what I'm talking about (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/01/09/iranian-clerics-affair-ca_n_156623.html). Let's keep it going!
Some inspiration for a future post:
http://www.boingboing.net/2009/01/02/home-securitys-secur.html